会议预告丨人大国发院“理论与政策”研讨会（第135-136期）

第135期

“一带一路”倡议如何促进中国的进口？

主 讲：吕越

主 持：刘瑞明

时 间：2023年10月18日14:00-15:30

地 点：立德楼11层1133会议室

报告摘要

We estimate the policy effect of belt and road initiative on China’s import. We use highly detailed, product-country level data from China Customs Trade Statistics Database which covers 5364 types of products and 201 economies from 2010 to 2017 to investigate the policy effects and the underlying mechanisms. We find that the BRI has significantly boosted China’s imports from countries along the route. The BRI have significant expansion effect on imports of existing products as well as positive effects on imports of new product import and product exit, which means BRI may also contribute to the optimization of product structure and growth in value of China’s imports. Moreover, BRI have positive effects on both general trade and processing trade. Mechanism analysis shows that policy coordination, cultural affinity, and maritime transportation connectivity have strong explanatory power on the policy effects of BRI. We also find that the BRI has played a "boosting" role for import boost for new RTA partner as well as non-RTA members along the route. We further examine the impact of BRI on global bilateral trade, and the result shows that BRI has generally promoted bilateral trade among all countries along the route, not limited to origin-China pairs.

报告人简介

吕越，对外经济贸易大学全球创新与治理研究院执行院长，国际经济贸易学院教授、博导，入选国家级人才项目，担任国家社科基金重大项目首席专家、全国高校国际贸易学科协作组青年论坛副秘书长、新兴经济体研究会理事。已在《中国社会科学》、《经济研究》、《管理世界》、《世界经济》、《经济学》、Review of International Economics 、World Economy、Economics Letters等杂志发表论文110余篇，撰写全球价值链研究专著两部。主持国家社科基金重大项目、国家自然科学基金面上项目等多项国家级课题。曾获得教育部高等学校科学研究优秀成果奖、安子介国际贸易研究奖、商务部商务发展研究奖、洪银兴经济学奖、邓子基财经学术论文奖等。

长期承担国家发改委、商务部、国资委、工信部、科技部等委托项目，研究成果获得获中央领导同志批示、中办和国办等国家机关部委采纳。主持教育部中国专业学位案例中心课题、获评北京市优秀本科论文指导教师。作为骨干成员获评首批中国经济学教材编写团队《中国开放型经济学》、全国高校黄大年式教学团队及国家级一流本科课程-虚拟仿真实验课。

第136期

目标丢失：随机环境检查与执法效率

主 讲：刘梦迪

主 持：刘瑞明

时 间：2023年10月18日15:30-17:00

地 点：立德楼11层1133会议室

报告摘要

Random inspection is considered a law enforcement method that can decrease the likelihood of collusion between supervisors and supervised objects. Using over 160,000 inspection records from 2016 to 2019, this study examined how China’s implementation of randomized environmental inspections affects law enforcement efficiency. We find that random inspections reduce the overall efficiency of law enforcement. Random inspections revealed 11% fewer environmental problems and 5% fewer environmental violations than non-random inspections. Further examination of the mechanisms reveals that the implementation of random inspections hinders the utilization of local officials' specialized knowledge in effectively targeting polluting companies and identifying violations, thereby diminishing the overall efficiency of law enforcement. To develop more effective enforcement strategies, policymakers should weigh the benefits of random inspections in reducing collusion against the drawbacks in losing target.

报告人简介

刘梦迪，对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院副教授，博士生导师。刘梦迪博士具有经济学与环境管理交叉学科背景，长期从事环境经济、环境治理相关的研究，主持国家自然科学基金青年项目、面上项目。其研究成果被接收或发表于American Economic Review、American Journal of Political Science 、Journal of Policy Analysis and Management、Journal of Development Economics、Journal of Environmental Economics and Management等高水平国际学术期刊。

文稿来源：人大国发院

微信编辑：张菁菁

人大国发院是中国人民大学集全校之力重点打造的中国特色新型高校智库，现任理事长为学校党委书记张东刚，现任院长为校长林尚立。2015年入选全国首批“国家高端智库”建设试点单位，并入选全球智库百强，2018年初在“中国大学智库机构百强排行榜”中名列第一。2019年在国家高端智库综合评估中入选第一档次梯队，是唯一入选第一档次梯队的高校智库。

人大国发院积极打造“新平台、大网络，跨学科、重交叉，促创新、高产出”的高端智库平台。围绕经济治理与经济发展、政治治理与法治建设、社会治理与社会创新、公共外交与国际关系四大研究领域，汇聚全校一流学科优质资源，在基础建设、决策咨询、公共外交、理论创新、舆论引导和内部治理等方面取得了显著成效。人大国发院以“中国特色新型高校智库的引领者”为目标，扎根中国大地，坚守国家战略，秉承时代使命，致力于建设成为“最懂中国的世界一流大学智库”。

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